(Relations between modern aggression and being invaded, colonization and being colonized)

Ally relations during World War II

Hostile relations during the Cold War

After the disintegration of the Soviet Union, the ‘post-cold war dividend’

Now: strategic mutual doubt

The Sino-US trade war is a branch

Sino-US relations are the backbone

There has been a turning point in Sino-US relations, and there has been a "trust deficit"

Both parties do not trust the other party’s ultimate intentions. Both parties believe that the other party’s long-term goal is to cost our side’s core interests.

Early-rising technology-driven: Internet technology deepens the international division of labor, and division of labor extends the supply chain

Then economic drive: set aside political differences and get rich

Now driven by trust: the global supply chain is the mutual trust network

In 2005, Thomas Friedman: "The World Is Flat"

In 2019, Thomas Friedman: The world has become "deeper"

In the past, "shallow" trade was controllable, and there was no dialogue between traded goods

Now, "deep" trade, interaction between traded goods, and security trust issues

Technology is irreversible: once a technology breaks through, it cannot be reversed

Economic interests are hard to shake: the roots of economic interests will be deeply rooted and cannot easily be shaken

Trust is fragile: trust will change repeatedly and flutter with the wind

Goal: International political game, not to let other countries love you, but to let other countries have accurate expectations of your behavior

Definition: When globalization ebbs, domestic policies are more important than international policies

purpose:

benefit:

operating: