MindMap Gallery Decision making and decision making methods
This is a mind map about decision-making and decision-making methods, and its main contents include: decision-making methods, factors that influencing decision-making, decision-making process, classification of decision-making, decision-making and decision-making theory.
Edited at 2025-01-11 15:23:34Rumi: 10 dimensions of spiritual awakening. When you stop looking for yourself, you will find the entire universe because what you are looking for is also looking for you. Anything you do persevere every day can open a door to the depths of your spirit. In silence, I slipped into the secret realm, and I enjoyed everything to observe the magic around me, and didn't make any noise. Why do you like to crawl when you are born with wings? The soul has its own ears and can hear things that the mind cannot understand. Seek inward for the answer to everything, everything in the universe is in you. Lovers do not end up meeting somewhere, and there is no parting in this world. A wound is where light enters your heart.
Chronic heart failure is not just a problem of the speed of heart rate! It is caused by the decrease in myocardial contraction and diastolic function, which leads to insufficient cardiac output, which in turn causes congestion in the pulmonary circulation and congestion in the systemic circulation. From causes, inducement to compensation mechanisms, the pathophysiological processes of heart failure are complex and diverse. By controlling edema, reducing the heart's front and afterload, improving cardiac comfort function, and preventing and treating basic causes, we can effectively respond to this challenge. Only by understanding the mechanisms and clinical manifestations of heart failure and mastering prevention and treatment strategies can we better protect heart health.
Ischemia-reperfusion injury is a phenomenon that cellular function and metabolic disorders and structural damage will worsen after organs or tissues restore blood supply. Its main mechanisms include increased free radical generation, calcium overload, and the role of microvascular and leukocytes. The heart and brain are common damaged organs, manifested as changes in myocardial metabolism and ultrastructural changes, decreased cardiac function, etc. Prevention and control measures include removing free radicals, reducing calcium overload, improving metabolism and controlling reperfusion conditions, such as low sodium, low temperature, low pressure, etc. Understanding these mechanisms can help develop effective treatment options and alleviate ischemic injury.
Rumi: 10 dimensions of spiritual awakening. When you stop looking for yourself, you will find the entire universe because what you are looking for is also looking for you. Anything you do persevere every day can open a door to the depths of your spirit. In silence, I slipped into the secret realm, and I enjoyed everything to observe the magic around me, and didn't make any noise. Why do you like to crawl when you are born with wings? The soul has its own ears and can hear things that the mind cannot understand. Seek inward for the answer to everything, everything in the universe is in you. Lovers do not end up meeting somewhere, and there is no parting in this world. A wound is where light enters your heart.
Chronic heart failure is not just a problem of the speed of heart rate! It is caused by the decrease in myocardial contraction and diastolic function, which leads to insufficient cardiac output, which in turn causes congestion in the pulmonary circulation and congestion in the systemic circulation. From causes, inducement to compensation mechanisms, the pathophysiological processes of heart failure are complex and diverse. By controlling edema, reducing the heart's front and afterload, improving cardiac comfort function, and preventing and treating basic causes, we can effectively respond to this challenge. Only by understanding the mechanisms and clinical manifestations of heart failure and mastering prevention and treatment strategies can we better protect heart health.
Ischemia-reperfusion injury is a phenomenon that cellular function and metabolic disorders and structural damage will worsen after organs or tissues restore blood supply. Its main mechanisms include increased free radical generation, calcium overload, and the role of microvascular and leukocytes. The heart and brain are common damaged organs, manifested as changes in myocardial metabolism and ultrastructural changes, decreased cardiac function, etc. Prevention and control measures include removing free radicals, reducing calcium overload, improving metabolism and controlling reperfusion conditions, such as low sodium, low temperature, low pressure, etc. Understanding these mechanisms can help develop effective treatment options and alleviate ischemic injury.
Decision making and decision making methods
Decision-making and decision-making theory
Definition of decision making
definition
The process by which managers identify and solve problems, or the process by which managers take advantage of opportunities. (Lewis, Goodman and Fant)
understand
Subject: Manager
Essence: A multi-step process
Purpose: Solve problems or take advantage of opportunities
Principles of decision-making
The satisfaction principle is not the optimal principle
Meet the best necessary conditions
Get all information related to decision making
Understand the value of all information and draw up all possible solutions based on this
Accurately predict the future execution results of each plan
Reasons for not being satisfied
Many factors inside and outside the organization will have different degrees of impact on the operation of the organization, but it is difficult for decision makers to collect all information that reflects these factors.
The ability of decision makers to utilize the limited information collected is also limited
The future is uncertain
The basis for decision making
The quantity and quality of information directly affect the level of decision making
Cost-benefit analysis
The right amount of information is the basis for decision making
Decision theory
Classical decision-making theory
Based on the assumption of "economic man" - decision makers are completely rational
Main content
Decision makers must have a full grasp of information about the decision-making environment
Decision makers should be fully aware of the situation of alternatives
Decision makers use a reasonable hierarchy to ensure the effective execution of commands
The purpose of decision-makers to make decisions is always to enable the organization to obtain the greatest economic benefits.
Ignore non-economic factors
Behavioral decision theory
Herbert A. Simon attacked the hypothesis of "economic man". In his book "Behavior Management", he proposed the "limited rationality" standard and the "satisfaction" principle.
Main content
Man is limited rationality
Decision makers are susceptible to perceptual bias in identifying and discovering problems
The rationality of decision makers' choices is relative
Compared with economic interests, decision makers' attitude towards risks plays a more important role in decision-making.
Decision makers often only seek satisfactory results in decision-making, but are not willing to work hard to find the best solution.
Decisions cannot be made only by a fixed procedure, but should be adjusted and supplemented in a timely manner according to changes in the organization's external environment and internal conditions.
Classification of decision making
importance
Strategic decision-making
definition
Decision-making activities involving major issues involving organizational goals and strategic planning
Features
Global
Long-term
Strategic
example
Acquisition and mergers, determination of senior manager candidates, organizational reform, listing
Tactical decision-making
definition
Also known as management decision, it refers to a decision to reasonably allocate the organization's human resources, funds, materials and other resources and change the business structure of the organization.
Features
Local
Medium term
Tactical
example
Formulate marketing plans, product development plans, machine and equipment updates, employee recruitment and salary levels, etc.
Business decisions
definition
Also known as execution decision making, it involves specific decision-making activities in general management and handling daily business in an organization
Features
Trivial
Short-term
Daily
example
Production progress arrangement, inventory control, advertising design, etc.
Repeatability
Programmatic decision-making (routine question)
Definition: Decisions that can use conventional methods to solve repetitive problems to achieve goals
Nonprogrammed decision-making (exceptional issues)
Definition: Decisions to solve problems that occur occasionally, once or rarely recur
Controllable degree (environmental factors)
Deterministic decision-making
definition
Refers to the decision-making conditions that are known, and each solution has only one definite conclusion. From which, the decision can be made that can achieve the desired results after being put into practice.
Features
Know the result, know the probability
Risk decision-making
definition
Refers to a decision that a plan will have different results in different natural states, and decision makers can only make decisions based on the probability that several different natural states may occur.
Features
Know the probability, not the result
Uncertain decision-making
definition
Refers to decision-makers making decisions when the objective natural state is completely unsure
Features
Don't know the result or the probability
Decision-making subject
Collective decision-making
definition
It refers to the decisions made by an organization on certain important issues through various committees or leadership bodies and absorbing relevant personnel from its affiliated institutions in accordance with certain procedures and methods.
advantage
Aggregate information on a larger scale, communicate better, make better decisions, get more recognition, and formulate more alternatives
shortcoming
Spend more time, unclear responsibilities, and easy to develop group thinking
Individual decision-making
definition
It is the decision makers who use the information they have already mastered or obtained from other channels to make decisions on certain issues based on their own practical experience and wisdom.
advantage
Make quick decisions, clear responsibilities, and give full play to the subjective initiative of the leader
shortcoming
Constrained by the leader's personal character, knowledge, ability, experience and courage
Decision-making process
一、 Diagnose problems (identify opportunities)
The accuracy of evaluating opportunities and problems depends on the accuracy of information, so managers should try their best to obtain accurate and trustworthy information.
二、 Clarify the goal
The goal is that the organization wants to get results
Depending on the length of time
Long-term goals
Usually used to guide the organization's strategic goals
Medium-term goals
Usually used to guide organizational tactical decisions
Short-term goals
Usually used to guide organizational business decisions
三、 Draw a plan
This step requires creativity and imagination
四、 Filtering plan
Determine the value or appropriateness of the proposed programs and determine the most satisfactory ones
五、 Implementation Plan
The effective implementation of the plan requires sufficient number and types of resources to ensure
六、 Evaluate the effect
Compare the actual implementation effect of the plan with the goals set by the manager to see if there are any deviations
Decision-making is actually a continuous cycle of "decision-implementation-redecision-re-implementation"
Factors influencing decision-making
Environmental factors
Environmental stability
More stable
Decisions are generally made by middle and middle managers in the organization.
Dramatic changes
Decisions are generally made by senior managers in the organization
Market structure
monopoly
Make the organization form a production-oriented business philosophy (provide whatever I produce and sell whatever I can)
compete
Make the organization form a market-oriented business philosophy (I will produce whatever the market needs, the user is God, and the customer is always right)
The positioning of buyers and sellers in the market
In the seller's market
The starting point of decision-making is the organization's own production conditions and production capacity
In the buyer's market
The starting point of decisions is market demand
Factors of the organization
Organizational culture
Conservative organizational culture
They tend to maintain the status quo. They are afraid of change and even more afraid of failure.
Engagement organizational culture
Welcome change, be brave to innovate, and treat failures with tolerance
The degree of informatization of the organization
The impact on decision making is mainly reflected in its impact on decision making efficiency
Organizational response mode to the environment
The nature of decision-making problems
The urgency of the problem
Very urgent
Time-sensitive decision making
Not urgent
Knowledge-sensitive decision-making
Severity of the problem
High-level decision-making
Group decision-making
Make careful decisions
The more important the issue is, the more it needs
Factors in the decision-making topic
Personal attitude towards risks
Risk aversion
Risk-neutral
Risk Hobby
Personal ability
Ability to understand problems
Ability to obtain information
Communication skills
Organizational competence
Personal values
Influencing decision-making by influencing the value components in decision-making
The degree of harmony between decision-making groups
Influence the possibility of a better action plan being adopted
Costs that affect decision making
Decision-making method
Qualitative Decision (Soft)
Methods for choosing activity directions
Collective decision-making method
Brainstorming method
Feature 1
In response to the problems solved, relevant experts or personnel gather together to open their minds, speak freely, and seek various decision-making ideas in a relaxed atmosphere.
Founder
American psychologist Osborne
Four principles
(1) Each expresses his own opinions and does not comment on other people's suggestions
(2) No need to think carefully, the more the better
(3) Encourage independent thinking and wonderful thinking
(4) Can supplement and improve existing suggestions
Feature 2
Advocate innovative thinking
Nominal group technology (also known as "nominal group law")
premise
Incomplete understanding of the nature of the problem and severe differences of opinion
step
(1) Select people who have research or experience in the issues to be solved as team members and provide them with information related to decision-making issues
(2) The group members were not allowed to communicate and wrote the alternatives they proposed into text materials.
(3) Then convene a meeting and ask the group members to state their plans one by one
(4) Voting, produce the most popular plan, and submit it to the manager as a reference for decision-making
Delphi Technology (Expert Prediction Method)
Rand Company proposed
Definition: controlled feedback to listen to experts' opinions on a certain issue
step
(1) According to the characteristics of the problem, select and invite experts who have done relevant research or have relevant experience.
(2) Provide information related to the problem to experts, ask them to express their opinions independently and write them into written materials
(3) After the manager collects and integrates the opinions of experts, he will feedback the comprehensive opinions to all experts and ask them to express their opinions again.
(4) This is repeated many times and finally a plan represents the opinions of the expert group
Business unit combination analysis method
When determining the direction of a certain unit's business activities, it should consider its relative competitive position and business growth rate.
Relative competitive position is often reflected in market share, which determines the sales volume, sales volume and profitability of an enterprise.
Business growth rate reflects the speed of business growth and affects the payback period of investment
Policy Guidance Rectangle
Analysis of the current status and characteristics of enterprise operating units from the two dimensions of market prospects and relative competitiveness
Quantitative decision-making (hard)
Decision-making methods related to activity plans
Deterministic decision-making method
Uncertain decision-making method
Risk decision-making methods