and just let the virus run its course

we see from cardiovascular disease each year

We could expect to see about 55,000 deaths, in just one day

what experts call R0 (Rnaught)

Unchecked

meaning that every infected person infects

An R0 less than 1 indicates that

The spring was bad

all hell broke loose

and committing to social (really, physical) distancing

so the outcome mentioned above is unlikely to occur

Even after we do these things

closing schools, restaurants, and bars

asking people to work from home

and not meet in groups of 10 or more

It will take up to two weeks for those infected today to show any

symptoms

and some people won’t show symptoms at all

It is absolutely within our capacity to do so

and do so regularly

we can let most people return to a more normal life

they can socialize

that do rapid screening and care for people, who are infected

apart from those who are not

We will need to focus our factories on turning out the protective

equipment

masks, gloves, gowns, and so forth

to ensure we keep our healthcare workforce safe

to flatten the curve aren’t just intended to slow the rate of

infection to levels

They give us the space to create what we need to make a real difference

than we have resources to care for

about whom to treat, and whom not to

at some point in the next few months

the rate of spread will slow

We cannot give in to that temptation

we will be ahead of a resurgence of the infection

closing them quickly when suppression fails

then opening them back up again

once the infected are identified and isolated

we could play more offense

time to find a treatment or a vaccine