MindMap Gallery Delphi method
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This is a mind map about bacteria, and its main contents include: overview, morphology, types, structure, reproduction, distribution, application, and expansion. The summary is comprehensive and meticulous, suitable as review materials.
This is a mind map about plant asexual reproduction, and its main contents include: concept, spore reproduction, vegetative reproduction, tissue culture, and buds. The summary is comprehensive and meticulous, suitable as review materials.
This is a mind map about the reproductive development of animals, and its main contents include: insects, frogs, birds, sexual reproduction, and asexual reproduction. The summary is comprehensive and meticulous, suitable as review materials.
Delphi method
Definition and Overview
The Delphi method is a decision-making method for soliciting expert opinions
Achieve consensus through a cycle of questions and feedback
History background
The Delphi method originated during the Cold War in the 1950s
Originally used for decision making in the military field
Process steps
First round of consultation
Identify decision problems
Investigate expert opinions
Summary of results and feedback to experts
subsequent rounds
In each round, experts re-evaluate the problem and provide new opinions
Results are summarized and fed back to experts until consensus is reached
Advantages and applicable scenarios
Avoid the dominance of opinions and group influence in face-to-face discussions
Experts provide advice in their own space and time, reducing psychological stress
Suitable for decision-making scenarios that require expert knowledge and consensus, such as technology assessment and risk assessment
Considerations and Challenges
Difficulty in collecting and distributing information, especially when faced with large amounts of expert opinion
Bias and inconsistencies may exist among experts
Vulnerable to organizational hierarchy and power structures
success case
Application of the Delphi method in the medical field, such as formulating clinical guidelines and treatment plans
Application of the Delphi method in new product development, such as market needs assessment and decision making
Conclusion
The Delphi method is an effective decision-making method that can help a team reach consensus based on soliciting expert opinions, but it should still be used with caution and its applicability and limitations should be considered.