The Delphi method is a decision-making method for soliciting expert opinions

Achieve consensus through a cycle of questions and feedback

The Delphi method originated during the Cold War in the 1950s

Originally used for decision making in the military field

First round of consultation

subsequent rounds

Avoid the dominance of opinions and group influence in face-to-face discussions

Experts provide advice in their own space and time, reducing psychological stress

Suitable for decision-making scenarios that require expert knowledge and consensus, such as technology assessment and risk assessment

Difficulty in collecting and distributing information, especially when faced with large amounts of expert opinion

Bias and inconsistencies may exist among experts

Vulnerable to organizational hierarchy and power structures

Application of the Delphi method in the medical field, such as formulating clinical guidelines and treatment plans

Application of the Delphi method in new product development, such as market needs assessment and decision making

The Delphi method is an effective decision-making method that can help a team reach consensus based on soliciting expert opinions, but it should still be used with caution and its applicability and limitations should be considered.