MindMap Gallery Fourth Edition_16.Risk Management
1. Senior Project Management Engineer/Information System Project Manager/The fourth edition of the advanced textbook has been painstakingly compiled. As long as you master the knowledge points contained in the mind map, you will be able to pass 45 points! ~ 2. Of course, this is the key point of knowledge. The real way to pass the exam is not to memorize it by rote, but to have a certain understanding. After all, many advanced exams do not directly test definitions! 3. I have spent a lot of effort to sort out these materials. Many of the words on it are typed one by one. Compared with the value of this small fee, it is simply like giving it away~~ 4. The first three chapters contain very little content in written form, so I won’t compile them here! 5. Of course, there will inevitably be errors in the above content. If you find any, please communicate via WeChat: 18978793047
Edited at 2023-10-04 18:13:42This is a mind map about bacteria, and its main contents include: overview, morphology, types, structure, reproduction, distribution, application, and expansion. The summary is comprehensive and meticulous, suitable as review materials.
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This is a mind map about the reproductive development of animals, and its main contents include: insects, frogs, birds, sexual reproduction, and asexual reproduction. The summary is comprehensive and meticulous, suitable as review materials.
This is a mind map about bacteria, and its main contents include: overview, morphology, types, structure, reproduction, distribution, application, and expansion. The summary is comprehensive and meticulous, suitable as review materials.
This is a mind map about plant asexual reproduction, and its main contents include: concept, spore reproduction, vegetative reproduction, tissue culture, and buds. The summary is comprehensive and meticulous, suitable as review materials.
This is a mind map about the reproductive development of animals, and its main contents include: insects, frogs, birds, sexual reproduction, and asexual reproduction. The summary is comprehensive and meticulous, suitable as review materials.
Top ten areas of knowledge
Fifteenth Supreme Picture
Chapter 16: Risk Management
Test situation analysis
comprehensive knowledge
Essay topic
Occasionally check
Risk Management
Definition of risk
Risk is an uncertain event or condition that, if it occurs, will have some positive or negative impact on the project objectives
attributes of risk
Any time (it doesn’t happen)
relativity
Variability (nature/consequences/new risks)
Risk classification
According to risk consequences
pure risk
Cannot bring opportunities and have no possibility of obtaining benefits There are only 2 possible consequences: causing loss and not causing loss
speculative risk
It may bring opportunities and gain benefits, but it may also imply threats and cause losses. There are 3 possible consequences: causing loss, not causing loss, and gaining benefit.
Avoid speculative risks turning into pure risks
By risk source
natural risks
Natural forces such as floods and earthquakes
man-made risk
Risks caused by human activities can be subdivided into behavioral, economic, technical, political and organizational risks
By scope of influence
local risk
Small scope of influence
overall risk
Large scope of influence
Local risks and overall risks are relative, and project managers should pay special attention to overall risks.
by predictability
Known risks
Known - A risk that is known, can be identified, and the consequences are foreseeable. High probability, minor consequences For example: unclear project goals, overly optimistic schedules, design or construction changes, material price fluctuations
Predictable risk
Known - Unknown, its occurrence can be foreseen, but its consequences cannot be foreseen. The consequences may be quite serious For example: the owner fails to approve in time, the subcontractor fails to deliver the work in time, equipment failure, unforeseen geological conditions
Unpredictable risks
Unknown - unknown, unforeseen risks, also known as unknown risks. Usually the result of external factors Such as: earthquakes, heavy rains that have never happened in a century, inflation, policy changes
Press to manage
Manageable risk
Risks that can be predicted and measures can be taken to control them
unmanageable risk
Unpredictable risks, increasing information and strengthening management can turn unmanageable risks into manageable ones
1. Plan risk management Plan Risk Management
definition
The process of defining how project risk management activities will be implemented
effect
Ensure that the level, approach and visibility of risk management are commensurate with the level of project risk and importance to the organization and other stakeholders.
ITTO
enter
1. Project Charter
2. Project management plan
3.Project files
4. Business environment factors
5. Organizational process assets
Tool technology
1.Analytical techniques
2. Expert judgment
3.Meeting
output
1. Risk management plan (methodology, roles and responsibilities, budget, timeline, risk categories, definition of risk probability and impact, probability and impact matrix, stakeholder tolerance, reporting format, tracking)
Contents of the risk management plan
1. Risk management strategy: Describe the general approach used to manage risks on this project.
2. Methodology: Determine the specific methods, tools and data sources used to carry out risk management of this project.
3. Roles and responsibilities: Identify leaders, supporters and team members for each risk management activity, and clarify responsibilities.
4. Funds: Determine the funds required to carry out project risk management activities, and formulate plans for the use of emergency reserves and management reserves.
5. Timing: Determine the time and frequency of implementing the project risk management process during the project life cycle, determine the risk
6. Risk management activities and incorporate them into the project schedule.
7. Risk categories: Determine how to classify project risks.
8. Stakeholder risk preference.
9. Risk probability and impact.
10. Probability and impact matrices.
11. Report format.
12. Tracking.
risk category
Specifies a method for classifying potential risk causes
It provides a structured method to make the risk identification process systematic and comprehensive, ensuring that the organization can identify risks under a unified framework, with the purpose of improving the quality and effectiveness of risk identification.
Risk Breakdown Structure (RBS)
A hierarchy organized by risk category to help identify the multiple causes of risk
2. Identify risks identify Risks
definition
The process of identifying sources of individual project risks, as well as overall project risks, and documenting risk characteristics.
effect
1. Record existing individual project risks and the sources of overall project risks;
2. Aggregate relevant information so that the project team can appropriately respond to the identified risks.
Identify risk content
1. Identify and determine the potential risks of the project
2. Identify the main factors causing these risks
3. Identify possible consequences of project risks
Principles to follow in identifying risks
1. All employees
2. Systematic
3. Dynamic
4. Information dependence
5. Comprehensive
ITTO
enter
1. Project management plan
2.Project files
3. Agreement
4. Procurement documents
5. Business environment factors
6. Organizational process assets
Tool technology
1. Expert judgment
2. Data collection
3.Data analysis
4.Interpersonal and team skills
5. Tip List
6.Meeting
output
1. Risk register (risk list, countermeasures, root causes, risk category updates)
2.Risk Report
3. Project file update
Risk register contents
1. List of identified risks
2. List of potential countermeasures
3. Root causes of risk
4. Risk category update
Note: It is only created in the risk identification stage, and subsequent qualitative analysis, quantitative analysis, and control risks will be supplemented and updated. For example, risk occurrence probability and risk impact level are updated in the qualitative analysis.
3. Conduct qualitative risk analysis Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis
definition
The process of prioritizing risks by assessing the probability and impact of occurrence and other characteristics of individual project risks to provide a basis for subsequent analysis or action.
effect
Focus on high priority risks.
ITTO
enter
1. Project management plan
2.Project files
3. Business environment factors
4. Organizational process assets
Tool technology
1. Expert judgment
2. Data collection
3.Data analysis
4.Interpersonal and team skills
5. Risk classification
6.Data performance
7.Meeting
output
1. Project file update
Risk register updates
Assume log update
Issue log update
Risk report updates
Tools & Techniques
hierarchical
Probability and Impact Matrix
4. Conduct quantitative risk analysis Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis
definition
The process of quantitatively analyzing the impact of risks and other sources of uncertainty on overall project objectives.
effect
1. Quantify the maximum likelihood of overall project risk,
2. Provide additional quantitative risk information to support risk response planning.
ITTO
enter
1. Project management plan
2.Project files
3. Organizational process assets
4. Business environment factors
Tool technology
1. Expert judgment
2. Data collection
3.Interpersonal and team skills
4. How uncertainty manifests itself
5.Data analysis
output
Project document updates (risk register)
Tools & Techniques
Monte Carlo analysis
Decision tree analysis
sensitivity analysis
Quantitative analysis content
1. Quantify project results and the probability of achieving project results
2. Evaluate the probability of achieving specific project goals
3. Determine the risks that require special attention by quantifying the impact of each risk on the overall risk of the project.
4. Determine realistic cost, schedule, or scope goals that are achievable, taking into account project risks
5. Determine the best project management decisions when certain conditions or outcomes are uncertain
Data collection and presentation techniques
1.Interview
2. Probability distribution
3. Expert judgment
Quantitative Risk Analysis and Modeling Techniques
1. Expected monetary value analysis
2. Decision tree analysis
3. Sensitivity analysis
4. Modeling and Simulation
5. Plan risk responses Plan Risk Responses
definition
The process of formulating plans, selecting response strategies, and agreeing on response actions in response to risks
effect
1. Develop appropriate methods to deal with overall project risks and individual project risks;
2. Allocate resources and add related activities to the project documents and project management plan as needed.
ITTO
enter
1. Project management plan
2.Project files
3. Business environment factors
4. Organizational process assets
Tool technology
1. Expert judgment
2. Data collection
3.Interpersonal and team skills
4. Threat response strategies
5. Opportunity response strategies
6. Emergency response strategies
7. Overall project risk response strategy
8.Data analysis
9. Decision making
output
1. Change request
2. Project management plan update
3. Project file update
Tool technology
risk response strategies
preventive solution
1. Report/report
2. Avoid/exploit
3. Transfer/Share
4. Reduce/improve
5.Accept/Accept
Illustration
emergency response strategies
6. Implement risk responses Implement Risk Responses
definition
Implementing a risk response is the process of executing an agreed risk response plan.
effect
Ensure agreed risk responses are executed as planned to manage overall project risk exposure to minimize individual project threats and maximize individual project opportunities.
ITTO
enter
1. Project management plan
2.Project files
3. Organizational process assets
Tools & Techniques
1. Expert judgment
2.Interpersonal and team skills
3. Project management information system
output
1. Change request
2. Project file update
6. Monitor risks Monitor Risks
definition
Monitoring risk is the process of overseeing the implementation of the agreed risk response plan, tracking identified risks, identifying and analyzing new risks, and evaluating the effectiveness of risk management throughout the project period.
effect
Base project decisions on current information about overall project risk exposure and individual project risks
ITTO
enter
1. Project management plan
2.Project files
3. Job performance data
4. Job performance report
Tool technology
1.Data analysis
2.Audit
3.Meeting
output
1. Job performance information
2. Change request
3. Project management plan update
4. Project file update
5. Organizational process asset updates
Monitor risk content
Are the risk responses implemented effective?
Has the overall project risk level changed?
Has the status of an identified individual project risk changed?
Whether new individual project risks arise
Is the risk management approach still relevant?
Do the project assumptions still hold?
Have risk management policies and procedures been followed?
Whether cost or schedule contingency reserves need to be modified
Is the project strategy still valid?