MindMap Gallery Financial Cost Management 2022
Financial Cost Management 2022D4 Capital Cost Knowledge Compilation, including: estimation of common stock capital cost, estimation of hybrid financing capital cost, calculation of weighted average cost of capital, estimation of debt capital, and the concept and use of capital cost.
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D4 capital cost
Estimate of cost of common equity capital
Estimated cost of common equity capital excluding issuance expenses
capital asset pricing model
rs=rrf β*(rm-rrf)
rf usually chooses the interest rate of long-term government bonds; the yield to maturity of publicly traded government bonds is used as a proxy for the risk-free interest rate; nominal currencies including inflation are usually selected to prepare projected financial statements and determine cash flows, while using inflation-free nominal currencies. Risk interest rate calculation cost of capital
When there is no significant change in the risk characteristics of the β company, select a long time period; for major changes, use the year after the change. The longer the period, the more reliable it is. The time interval at which earnings are measured, weekly or monthly returns are widely used
Market risk premium: Choose a longer time period, economic boom & recession; arithmetic mean & geometric mean (most people)
dividend growth model
rs=D1/P0 g
g-Historical growth method/sustainable growth rate method/security analyst forecast method
Bond Yield Risk Adjustment Model
rs=rdtRPc
after-tax cost of debt
The risk premium required by shareholders to bear greater risk than creditors - the equity relative to bond risk premium
Empirical estimation method/historical data analysis method
Estimate of cost of common equity capital taking into account issuance expenses
Cost of capital for newly issued common stock
rs=D1/P0(1-F) g
f is the issuance expense rate
Estimate of retained earnings capital cost
The cost of retained earnings capital is estimated to be similar to the cost of common equity capital, but does not take into account issuance expenses.
Estimates of Hybrid Financing Capital Costs
Features and content
Combines the dual attributes of debt and equity financing
Preferred shares, perpetual bonds, convertible bonds, bonds with warrants
Estimates of Hybrid Financing Capital Costs
preferred stock
perpetual bond
Calculation of weighted average cost of capital
definition
It is the average cost of all long-term capital obtained by taking the weighted average of the individual long-term capital cost rates based on the proportion of each individual long-term capital in the total capital of the enterprise.
Calculation method
Weighted average capital cost = cost of the jth individual capital * weight of the jth individual capital in all capital (n - number of different types of financing) - multiply and add
Debt capital estimates
The concept of cost of debt capital
Determine the rate of return required by creditors
Distinguish between: historical cost & future cost of debt; promised returns and expected returns; long-term debt costs and short-term debt costs
Estimate of pre-tax debt cost of capital
Estimate of pre-tax cost of debt capital excluding issuance charges
Choice of Debt Capital Cost Estimation Method
yield to maturity method
Comparable Companies Act
risk adjustment approach
financial ratio method
Estimate of pre-tax cost of debt capital taking into account issuance charges
Bond issue price* (1-issuance rate)
Estimate of after-tax cost of debt capital
=Pre-tax debt capital cost*(1-t)
The concept and use of capital cost
concept
Opportunity cost of investment capital - Opportunity cost - Required rate of return - Choice rate of investment project - Minimum acceptable rate of return
What is related to the company's financing activities is the company's capital cost; what is related to the investment activities is the capital cost of the investment project.
Cost of capital - the price a company pays to obtain and use capital. The return investors receive from securities is the cost of financing. (Investor’s perspective)
Project Capital Cost - The rate of return required by a company to invest in a capital expenditure project.
use
Investment decisions, financing decisions, working capital management, corporate value assessment, performance evaluation
Influencing factors
external
risk-free rate
market risk interest rate
tax rate
Internal factors
Capital Structure
Investment decision
D5 Investment Project Capital Budget
Types of investment projects and evaluation procedures
investment type
Mainly new construction or expansion projects & renovation projects
Evaluation procedure
Propose investment plan
Estimated related cash flows
Calculate investment decision indicators
Compare decision indicators to acceptance criteria
Perform sensitivity analysis
Evaluation methods for investment projects
Evaluation methods for independent projects
Basic (the basic indicator is future net cash flow & present value of original investment)
Net present value method, present value index method
Net present value method: npv = present value of future net cash flows - present value of original investment
If it is greater than 0, it means that the return on investment is greater than the capital cost. Adopt~
Present value index method: pi=1 npv=present value of future net cash flow/present value of original investment
Relative number, reflecting efficiency, is greater than 1, and the return on investment is greater than the capital cost, adopted~
Internal rate of return: irr = the discount rate that makes the present value of future cash flows = the present value of the original investment or the discount rate at which the net present value of the investment project is zero
Generally, it is a step-by-step test. First, find the two discount rates with the net present value closest to 0, and find it by interpolation. In special cases, look up the table. IRR>Capital cost to be adopted
Auxiliary
Payback period method - dynamic & static payback period
quiet
The time required for the future net cash flow caused by investment to accumulate to be equal to the original investment amount - the number of years required to recover the investment
The construction period is 0, and the static payback period = original investment/future annual net cash flow
If the original investment is divided into several years, the static payback period = M The uncollected amount in year M / The net cash flow in year M 1
move
Consider the time value of money
The original investment is a one-time investment, and the construction period is 0. (P/A, i, n) = present value of original investment/future annual net cash flow (then use interpolation method)
If not, then the dynamic payback period = M The present value of the uncollected amount in year M / The present value of the net cash flow in year M 1
accounting rate of return ARR
Calculated based on the ratio of the estimated average annual net profit over the life of the project to the estimated capital occupation
Simple
Average annual net profit/original investment*100%
average capital occupation
Average annual net profit/average capital occupation*100%=average annual net profit/(original investment amount net residual value of investment)/2*100%
Prioritization issues for mutually exclusive projects
Projects have the same lifespan - the conclusion of the net present value method takes precedence
Project life spans vary
Technological progress cannot be replicated; replacement costs rise when inflation is severe; competition reduces project returns or even eliminates them
common years method
Assuming that the project can be reset, choose the least common multiple as the common life span
equal annuity method
Calculate the net present value, and then calculate the equal annual amount = net present value of the plan/(P/A, i, n); for perpetual annuity, perpetual net present value = equal annuity/capital cost i
Total distribution when the total amount is limited
There is no limit on the total amount of capital. As long as npv>0 or IRR>capital cost, you can invest.
But if it is limited, it is necessary to find the combination with the largest total net present value as the optimal combination.
Estimation of investment project cash flows
Factors affecting cash flow of investment projects
cash flow - cash inflow & cash outflow & the difference is net cash flow
Distinguish between relevant and non-relevant costs
Related
Must be considered when making specific decisions and analyses: variable cost, marginal cost, opportunity, replacement, cash, avoidable, deferrable, exclusive, differential, etc.
Not relevant
Sunk/inevitable, undelayable/common cost, etc.
Don’t ignore opportunity costs
When adopting new solutions, consider the impact on other projects
need for working capital
Working capital is a stock indicator, and cash flow is a flow indicator. The impact of working capital on cash flow is the increase in working capital. Only when the scale of working capital increases, does it need to increase working capital investment.
Determination of cash flow for new projects
Project life cycle
No income tax considered
Consider income taxes
After-tax cost = cost amount * (1-t)
After-tax income = income finance * (1-t)
Depreciation tax deduction = depreciation *t
after tax cash flow
Cash flow from fixed asset renewal projects
Features - Cash Outflow
average annual cost
Estimation of investment project discount rate
Use the enterprise's current weighted average cost of capital as the capital cost of the investment project
Use the comparable companies method to estimate the capital cost of investment projects
Sensitivity analysis of investment projects
meaning
method
sensitivity method
maxmin method