MindMap Gallery First Construction-Economy-Economic Effect Evaluation
Notes of a First Class Construction Engineer - Economic Part - Economic Effect Evaluation. It is recommended to use it in conjunction with the first-build exam syllabus on my homepage. Friends in need hurry up and collect it!
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This is a mind map about bacteria, and its main contents include: overview, morphology, types, structure, reproduction, distribution, application, and expansion. The summary is comprehensive and meticulous, suitable as review materials.
This is a mind map about plant asexual reproduction, and its main contents include: concept, spore reproduction, vegetative reproduction, tissue culture, and buds. The summary is comprehensive and meticulous, suitable as review materials.
This is a mind map about the reproductive development of animals, and its main contents include: insects, frogs, birds, sexual reproduction, and asexual reproduction. The summary is comprehensive and meticulous, suitable as review materials.
economic effect evaluation
Contents of Economic Effect Evaluation
Fundamental contents
Profitability
Financial internal rate of return/financial net present value and other indicators
Solvency (pay)
Interest coverage ratio/debt service coverage ratio/asset-liability ratio
financial viability (Sustainability) (Gold)
Net cash flow/accumulated surplus funds
Evaluation method
Evaluation plan
Stand-alone plan
The choice is between "do" and "don't do"
Technical solutions do not interfere with each other and are not economically related to each other
mutually exclusive solution
Each technical solution can replace each other and is exclusive
evaluate
own economic effect
That is, the “absolute economic effect test”
The best relative economic effect
That is, the "relative economic effect test"
Calculation period for technical solutions
Calculation period: refers to the period set for dynamic analysis in economic effect evaluation
Calculation period
Construction period (investment and construction period): the time required from the formal investment of funds to the completion and commissioning of the technical solution
Operation period (production operation period)
The transitional stage when production is put into production and has not yet reached design capabilities.
The ramp-up period refers to the time after production operations reach the expected design level.
Evaluation System
Evaluation System
deterministic analysis
Profitability Analysis
static
return on investment
Total Return on Investment (ROI)
Net profit margin on capital (ROI)
Static payback period (Pt)
dynamic
Financial Net Present Value (FNPV)
Financial Internal Rate of Return (FIRR)
Solvency Analysis
interest coverage ratio
Loan repayment period
debt service ratio
Assets and liabilities
current ratio
quick ratio
uncertainty analysis
Break-even analysis
sensitivity analysis
Applicability of static indicators
Features: Does not consider time factors, easy to calculate
The difference between static and dynamic lies in whether the time factor is considered
Be applicable
Conduct a rough evaluation of technical solutions
Evaluate short-term investment options
Evaluate technical solutions with roughly equal year-over-year returns
Indicator content
return on investment (ROE/ROI)
concepts and discriminants
Concept: Investment rate of return is an evaluation index that measures the profitability of technical solutions.
type
total investment return
Net profit margin on capital
Features
It reflects the investment effect of the plan to a certain extent and can be applied to various investment scales.
excellent
The economic significance is clear and intuitive, and the calculation is simple.
inferior
Failure to consider the time factor of investment returns in technical solutions and ignoring the importance of time value of funds
The calculation is too subjective and arbitrary, and it is difficult to select the normal production year of the technical plan, which involves certain uncertainties and human factors.
application
Net profit margin on capital (ROE)
Real questions
Total Return on Investment (ROI)
Real questions
Scope of application
1. Early stages of technical solution development or research process
2. Shorter calculation period
3. Technical solutions that do not have the detailed information required for comprehensive analysis
4. It is especially suitable for the selection of technical solutions and the evaluation of the economic effects of investment where the process is simple and the production situation does not change much.
Payback Period (Pt)
concept
The investment payback period is also called the return period
Important indicators reflecting the investment recovery capability of technical solutions
Features
It can only be used as an auxiliary evaluation indicator or used in combination with other evaluation indicators.
excellent
The economic significance is clear and intuitive, and the calculation is simple. It reflects the investment effect of the plan to a certain extent and can be applied to various investment scales.
inferior
Failure to consider the time value of money and the inability to accurately determine the pros and cons of technical solutions
Classification
static payback period
Easy to understand and easy to calculate
Usually only static investment payback period calculation analysis of technical solutions is performed
The static investment payback period should be calculated from the year when the construction of the technical solution begins.
Dynamic payback period
Applied
Net income is the same in each year
Net income varies from year to year
Static payback period Pt
Scope of application
1. Technically updated quickly
2. Shortage of funds
3. It is difficult to predict the future situation and investors are particularly concerned about financial compensation and other situations.
Financial Net Present Value (FNPV)
definition
Dynamic evaluation index that reflects the profitability of technical solutions during the calculation period
Case understanding
Criterion
FNPV is an absolute indicator of profitability
FNPV>0
excess income
FNPV=0
A profit level that can basically meet the benchmark rate of return requirements and is feasible
FNPV<0
Not feasible
Features
excellent
Consider the value of time, taking into account the entire calculation period
The judgment is intuitive and the profitability level is expressed directly in monetary terms.
inferior
A benchmark rate of return must first be determined, and it is difficult to determine the benchmark rate of return.
Financial net present value must carefully consider the life of mutually exclusive alternatives
It cannot truly reflect the efficiency of unit investment, the operating results of each year, and the recovery speed of investment.
Financial Internal Rate of Return (FIRR)
definition
Criterion
Relative quantitative indicators to examine project profitability
FIRR≥iC
acceptable
FIRR<iC
Not feasible
Features
excellent
1. Taking into account the time value of money
2. Reflect the degree of return from the investment process
3. It is not affected by external parameters and depends entirely on the cash flow of the investment process.
4. No need to determine the benchmark rate of return in advance
inferior
1. Trouble with calculations
2. Unconventional cash flow solutions with no or multiple solutions
3. It cannot be used for the comparison and selection of mutually exclusive solutions (applicable to the economic evaluation and feasibility judgment of independent technical solutions with regular cash flow)
Benchmark rate of return
concept
Minimum standard level of benefits for technical solutions
subtopic
Measurement basis
Investors determine by themselves
Capital cost, opportunity cost, investment risk, inflation
Benchmark rate of return ≥ cost of capital
Benchmark rate of return ≥ opportunity cost
Benchmark rate of return is directly proportional to investment risk
Inflation rate ↑, price index change rate ↑, then the benchmark rate of return ↑
government investment projects
Determined according to government policy guidance
Industry Benchmark Yield
Analyze all aspects of the situation and make a comprehensive determination based on industry characteristics and industry capital composition.
Technical solutions for investing abroad in China
Consider country risk factors first
Solvency
Solvency Index
Loan repayment period; interest reserve ratio; debt service reserve ratio
Asset-liability ratio; current ratio; quick ratio
Interest Coverage Ratio (ICR)
concept
ICR = Profit before interest and tax/Interest payable
Normally >1, in my country it should be ≥2
Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR)
concept
Calculation formula
A low debt service reserve ratio indicates that there are insufficient funds to repay the principal and interest of the debt, and the risk of debt repayment is high.
Normally >1, in my country it should be ≥1.3